US Senate passes North America trade deal, Canada still to approve

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The US Senate on Thursday approved a revamp of the 26-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement that includes tougher rules on labour and automotive content but leaves $1.2 trillion in annual US-Mexico-Canada trade flows largely unchanged.

The legislation to implement the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement passed on an 89-10 bipartisan vote, sending the measure to President Donald Trump for him to sign into law.

The Democratic-controlled US House of Representatives passed the legislation on Dec. 19 after hammering out changes to ensure better enforcement of labour rights and tighter environmental rules during months of often contentious negotiations with the Trump administration.

The Senate vote came a day after Trump signed a long-awaited Phase 1 trade deal with China, and shortly before the Senate formally began the impeachment trial of Trump on charges that he abused his power.

The US S&P 500 stock index hit the 3 300 mark on Thursday for the first time, buoyed by the two trade deals, solid retail sales and upbeat Morgan Stanley earnings.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Trump’s efforts to rebalance US ties with its major trading partners were bearing fruit, and boosting U.S. economic growth.

“This historic agreement not only modernizes and rebalances our trade relationship with Canada and Mexico, but it promotes economic growth, creates jobs, and provides crucial certainty for farmers, workers and manufacturers,” he said in a statement.

On Wednesday, Mnuchin told Fox News that interim trade deal with China and passage of USMCA would boost growth of the U.S. gross domestic product by 50 to 75 basis points.

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador on Thursday called the deal’s approval good news for the Mexican economy, and predicted it would jump start new investments.

Canada still needs to approve the deal before it can take effect and replace NAFTA. It was signed by the leaders of the United States, Mexico and Canada in September 2018.

Trump made renegotiating NAFTA a centrepiece of his 2016 election campaign, calling it “the worst trade deal ever made “and blaming it for the loss of thousands of American factory jobs to low-wage Mexico.

He had threatened to cancel NAFTA outright unless Congress acted to approve the replacement deal, sparking uncertainty among business owners and putting a damper on new investment.

The AFL-CIO union federation, which represents some 12.5million workers across the United States, estimates that some 851 700 US jobs were lost to Mexico because of NAFTA.

The US goods trade deficit with Mexico was $80.7 billion in 2018, compared with a $1.7 billion surplus in 1993, thanks in part to U.S. companies moving manufacturing south of the border.

But NAFTA also quadrupled trade among the United States, Canada and Mexico, sending it to $1.2 trillion a year by 2017, and knitting together supply chains across the continent.

Industry groups hailed the trade agreement and said it would provide sorely needed certainty to revive investment flows.

US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said the agreement would set “the new gold standard” for all future trade agreements with its strong, enforceable labour and environmental stands, digital provisions and rules against market distorting subsidies and currency manipulation.

Canada’s parliament does not return to session until Jan.27, so the scheduling of a vote there remains unclear.

But USMCA is expected to see little resistance in Canada, as Conservatives have said they would back the deal negotiated earlier by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal-dominated government.

“The implementing legislation will be a top priority when Parliament resumes later this month. We hope that all parliamentarians from all parties will support its swift passage,” Canadian Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland said in a statement.

Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, speaking on the Senate floor, called the vote “a big bipartisan win.”

Republican Senator Joni Ernst told Fox Business Network that she expected Trump to hold a signing ceremony next week.