As vote count continues, indications are still that six metros – City of Tshwane, City of Johannesburg, Ekurhuleni, the Nelson Mandela Bay, Mangaung, and Ethekwini – will be ruled by coalitions.
At 71% of the vote count, the CSIR predicts that the ANC will finish at 39.4% followed by the DA at 41.4% and the EFF at 6.5 in the Nelson Mandela Bay Metro.
The ANC had a majority in 111 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 110 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 68 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 61 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 0 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
In the City of Johannesburg, it might take more than two parties to form a coalition with the ANC predicted to finish at 34%, followed by the DA at 27%, the Action SA at 15.6 and the EFF at 10.9%.
The ANC had a majority in 296 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 190 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 194 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 110 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 0 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
In Ekurhuleni, the ANC might need to ‘get into bed’ with the DA where they are predicted will finish amass 38.4% of the vote share followed by the DA at 28.3%, the EFF at 13.2 and Action SA at 7.4%.
The ANC had a majority in 353 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 284 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 143 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 116 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 3 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
The City of Tshwane is another metro where interesting coalition could emerge between the ANC and the DA or the DA together with the Action SA and the EFF. The CSIR is predicting that the ANC will finish at 33.8%, neck-and-neck with the DA at 32.4, followed by possible kingmakers, the EFF and Action SA at 11.2% and 8.7%, respectively. This prediction is at 39.2% of the vote count.
The ANC had a majority in 155 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 134 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 114 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 87 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 0 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
In Ethekwini at the 38.4% of the vote count, the ANC is still predicted will finish far below the 50% mark, at 42.2, followed by the DA at 25.2 and the EFFa at at the 38.4% of the vote count, the ANC is still predicted will finish far below the 50% mark, at 42.2%, followed by the DA at 25.2%, the EFF at 10.4% and Action SA at 2.3%.
The ANC had a majority in 224 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 197 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 96 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 87 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 0 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
If the CSIR predictions are anything to go by, it remains to be seen whether the ANC, who are predicted will finish at 49.5% at 44.9% of the vote count, will consider a coalition with the right-wing FFPlus in the Free State Province. The FFPlus are predicted will finish at 4.4%, enough to make the ANC the kings Mangaung Metro. The DA are expected to amass 24.4%; while the EFF are expected to come in at 11.1%.11.1
The ANC had a majority in 108 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 97 of these in 2021. The DA had a majority in 42 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 36 of these in 2021. The EFF had a majority in 0 VDs in 2016 and have held onto 0 of these in 2021.
The Buffalo City Metro and the City of Cape Town Metro are the only two metros predicted will be won outright by the ANC and the DA, respectively.
