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Rand falls as dollar surges on Fed rate hike forecasts

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The Rand weakened further on Friday, dragged down by a stronger dollar as Federal Reserve officials continued to talk up the need for further interest rate hikes.

At 1529 GMT, the rand was trading at 17.0275 against the dollar, down 0.89% from its previous close.

The rand has now lost more than 5% against the dollar this week as the United States (US) currency has forged higher on global markets.

A string of US central bank officials said on Thursday that the Fed needs to keep raising borrowing costs to tame decades-high inflation, even as they debated how fast and how high to lift them.

A surprise fall in local retail sales in June (ZARET=ECI) and power cuts by struggling state-owned power utility Eskom have also weighed on the rand this week.

“The rand and other emerging market currencies remain highly vulnerable to shifts in global market sentiment,” Investec analyst Lara Hodes said in a research note.

But next week the local data calendar includes July consumer (ZACPIY=ECI) and producer (ZAPPIY=ECI) inflation, second-quarter unemployment (ZAUNR=ECI) and a leading business cycle indicator (ZALEAD=ECI).

Shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) fell, mirroring the fall in global equities as rate hike worries and fears of recession sapped risk appetite.

Overall on the JSE, the All-Share index (.JALSH) ended down 1.82%, while the Top-40 index (.JTOPI) closed 1.89% lower.

The government’s benchmark 2030 bond fell, with the yield up 14 basis points at 10.325%.

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