Chances for La Niña are expected to gradually decrease from 86% in the coming season to 60% during December-February 2022-23, a US government weather forecaster said on Thursday.
The La Niña weather pattern is characterised by unusually cold temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
“While a majority of NMME models suggest that La Niña will transition to ENSO-neutral in January-March 2023, forecasters are split on this outcome resulting in equal forecast probabilities for that season,” the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre said.
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions refer to periods in which neither El Nino nor La Nina is present, often coinciding with the transition between the two weather patterns, according to the centre.
