The CSIR is predicting that the Freedom Front Plus (FF Plus) will win around three percent of the national votes cast in the 2019 elections. That will give the party four seats in the national legislature.

The party has received less than one percent of the total vote cast all elections since 1999, handing the party around four seats in National Parliament over the years.

This election, the CSIR says, suggests a change in it fortunes.

In 2014 the FF Plus won only a handful of voting districts (VDs) across the country. In 2019, with only 25% of VDs declared, the party has secured dozens of new voting districts across the mainly northern provinces of North West, Northern Cape, Limpopo, and the Free State.

In the North West, the FF Plus won only two VDs in 2014. This year they have already taken 33 VDs.

With a quarter of the VDs declared, the party has already almost doubled its vote count in the Northern Cape and already passed its 2014 vote count in the Western Cape.

It appears that the FF Plus has benefited from vote shifts away from the Democratic Alliance, according to the council.

Collette Schulz Herzenberg

2014

2019

% Party Votes

Province Party Votes

Party Votes

25% VDs declared

0.31 % Eastern Cape 6 818 5036
2.10 % Free State 21 339 6042
1.20 % Gauteng 52 436 16 050
0.20 % KwaZulu-Natal 7 695 671
0.69 % Limpopo 10 102 4413
0.82 % Mpumalanga 11 018 9903
1.72 % North West 18 746 13728
1.09 % Northern Cape 4 600 8627
0.55 % Western Cape 11 587 14827
0.81 % Total 144 341 98779