Coalitions look almost inevitable in six metros after the 2021 Local Government Elections.
At 43% of the voting districts declared, the CSIR has predicted that both the two leading parties in the Nelson Mandela Bay Metro – the ANC and DA – will not win the metro outright, which means both will need the support of the smaller parties to govern in the metro. The DA is expected to finish as the leading party at 43.4% followed by the ANC at 39.2%; the EFF at 6.2%; the FFPlus 1.8%; and the UDM at 1.1%.
However, if the predictions are anything to go by in the Mangaung Metro in the Free State, the ANC might need the support of one of the smaller parties to govern the metro. The ruling party is predicted to win 50% of the vote share, a percentage point short of outright majority, followed by the DA at 24.7; the EFF at 11% and the FFPlus at 4.5%, at 26.3% of the votes declared at 33% of the voting districts declared.
A coalition looks almost inevitable in the hotly-contested City of Johannesburg Metro where the ANC is predicted to fail to reach the 40% mark finishing at 35%, followed by the DA at 29.8%; the EFF at 11.5% and ActionSA at 11.8 at 49.9% of the voting districts declared at 26.3% of the voting districts declared.
It is almost the same situation in the Ekurhuleni Metro in Gauteng where coalition looks inevitable with the ANC predicted to finish at 38%, followed by the DA at 29.1%; the EFF at 12.9% and the ActionSA at 7.2, at 49.9% of the voting districts declared.
At 18.9% of the voting districts declared in the City of Tshwane Metro, the ANC and the DA are predicted to finish neck-and-neck at 33.5% and 33.3%, respectively. They are expected to be followed by EFF at 11.7, which would still not be enough to solely give power to either of the two leading parties, with ActionSA entering the fray at a predicted 7.3%.
The Ethekwini Metro in the KZN is another metro likely to require a coalition government with the ANC predicted to amass 42.3%, followed by the DA at 26.3; the EFF and the IFP predicted to finish neck-and-neck at 10.8% and 10.7%, respectively, and ActionSA only getting 1.1% in the metro, at 12.3% of the voting districts declared.
