The CSIR is predicting that the Freedom Front Plus (FF Plus) will win around three percent of the national votes cast in the 2019 elections. That will give the party four seats in the national legislature.
The party has received less than one percent of the total vote cast all elections since 1999, handing the party around four seats in National Parliament over the years.
This election, the CSIR says, suggests a change in it fortunes.
In 2014 the FF Plus won only a handful of voting districts (VDs) across the country. In 2019, with only 25% of VDs declared, the party has secured dozens of new voting districts across the mainly northern provinces of North West, Northern Cape, Limpopo, and the Free State.
In the North West, the FF Plus won only two VDs in 2014. This year they have already taken 33 VDs.
With a quarter of the VDs declared, the party has already almost doubled its vote count in the Northern Cape and already passed its 2014 vote count in the Western Cape.
It appears that the FF Plus has benefited from vote shifts away from the Democratic Alliance, according to the council.
Collette Schulz Herzenberg
2014 |
2019 |
||
% Party Votes |
Province | Party Votes |
Party Votes 25% VDs declared |
0.31 % | Eastern Cape | 6 818 | 5036 |
2.10 % | Free State | 21 339 | 6042 |
1.20 % | Gauteng | 52 436 | 16 050 |
0.20 % | KwaZulu-Natal | 7 695 | 671 |
0.69 % | Limpopo | 10 102 | 4413 |
0.82 % | Mpumalanga | 11 018 | 9903 |
1.72 % | North West | 18 746 | 13728 |
1.09 % | Northern Cape | 4 600 | 8627 |
0.55 % | Western Cape | 11 587 | 14827 |
0.81 % | Total | 144 341 | 98779 |